社科网首页|客户端|官方微博|报刊投稿|邮箱 中国社会科学网
Back Issues
Renminbi Internationalization: Progress, Prospect and Comparison
2012-10-06 14:16:26
China & World Economy  / 63–82, Vol. 20,  No. 5, 2012

Renminbi Internationalization: Progress, Prospect and Comparison

Chen-yuan Tung, Guo-chen Wang, Jason Yeh*

Abstract

Using principal component analyses, this paper constructs two internationalization indices for the renminbi (RMB) and 32 other major currencies. We find that the RMB’s currency internationalization degree index (CIDI) is still low, and far behind the 4 most important international currencies. In 2009, it was ranked 18th among all important international currencies. However, in terms of the currency internationalization prospect index (CIPI), the RMB has remained the world’s fifth highest since 2006. Although it is still far behind the US dollar and the euro, surpassing the ranking of the yen and the pound is possible in the near future. The dramatic difference in the ranking between the CIDI and the CIPI is  a result of  China’s tight capital account control, the usage continuity of international currency due to network externalities, and the narrow foreign exchange and imperfect financial markets. Hence, to a large degree, the RMB’s potential as an international currency depends on China’s capital account liberalization.


Key words: currency internationalization, currency internationalization degree index, currency internationalization prospect index, principal component analysis, RMB
JEL codes: C1, F31, O24